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Mark Soskin's avatar

1) What about the inflationary hikes for the city or county government to retain workers, pay for supplies, or fund infrastructure maintenance (road paving, building wear and tear)?

2) What about city internal population growth (not in-migration) requiring budget increase?

3) How about questionable "developments" such as building waste dumps or welcoming state prisons?

Also, back in Volusia Co., FL, I volunteered on a revolving loan fund economic development program that lent out for business investment (mostly local: home grown best) expansion projects that guaranteed job creation above average wages (plus fringes). Some couldn't be repaid due to business failure, but the return on the County's seed money was substantial, allowing this program to be expanded for several years until shutdown by misguided "development" appointed by the new county manager's boyfriend (MPA degrees require like 1 econ-related course, the rest is managing, not regional economic development!).

Lastly, I co-authored a published paper on how fear by a community of being declared a Superfund hazard waste dump for cleanup causes cooperation among even adversarial stakeholders to prevent that Federal designations. Rather than race-to-the-bottom national competitions, Federal programs can create incentives to strive for quality, like Obama's Race to the Top school and district grant awards (instead of No Child Left Behind lowering the bar to mediocrity).

Benjamin Jaros's avatar

You might find this paper interesting on a related research question around TIFs: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5182368

Beyond the Local Impacts of Place-Based Policies: Spillovers through Latent Housing Markets

Anna Ziff

Texas A&M University - Department of Economics

Date Written: May 20, 2026

Abstract

Place-based policies target geographic areas, aiming to generate localized investment for economic development. Do these policies create new economic activity or do they reallocate it from other areas? Empirically evaluating this question is challenging because researchers must identify which non-targeted areas may experience spillovers. I use a data-driven approach to characterize the areas most likely to be affected when others receive targeted investment. Tax Increment Financing in Chicago provides a setting to consider whether neighborhood revitalization shifts economic activity away from economically connected, non-targeted areas. I find that Tax Increment Financing increases property values in targeted areas but decreases property values in non-targeted areas in the same housing markets. Business activity shifts in a manner consistent with Tax Increment Financing subsidizing development that would have occurred elsewhere. Due to the targeting of the policy, it results in a limited amount of redistribution toward relatively disadvantaged targeted areas.

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