The Problem With Government Investors Isn’t Just That They’re Bad at It. It’s That They Shouldn’t Be Doing It.
When I wrote recently about the growing number of entrepreneurs, investors, and Wall Street veterans entering government to run industrial policy and public investment programs, many readers interpreted my argument as a simple warning: government is bad at investing.
It is. But the deeper point, which I failed to make explicitly in my syndicated column due to the lack of space, was perfectly summed up on X by Jonathan Hoenig: “government isn’t just inept as an investor—it’s immoral. Government has one role: protect individual rights not “maximize investment returns.”
He’s right. The problem is not merely that the government makes for a lousy investor. Government investing changes the moral relationship between risk, reward, and accountability.
In markets, investment is disciplined by consequences. Private investors deploy capital that belongs to them or that’s voluntarily entrusted to them. If they make bad bets, they lose money, reputation, clients, and sometimes even their careers. Prices communicate information. Profits reward value creation. Losses punish mistakes.
This discipline is central to what makes markets work. Government, however, investing operates under entirely different rules – rules that virtually eliminate discipline.
Government officials allocate resources extracted through taxation or borrowing backed by taxpayers. If projects fail, these officials rarely bear meaningful personal consequences. The losses are socialized. The incentives instead are political. Success is often measured not by financial returns but by press releases, ribbon cuttings, strategic narratives, or vague, untestable claims about resilience, competitiveness, and national greatness.
It is politics wearing the language of capital allocation. A good recent example is the expansion of the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation into maritime insurance and reinsurance for vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz. The political goals of the administration are obvious, and whether that’s a good financial decision is secondary to why it was made in the first place. And again it’s using other people’s money to do it. Why should taxpayers be conscripted into financing these bets?
Another reason why there should be no such government investments is that they poison the economy and capital markets.
When Washington pours billions into favored industries – whether green energy, semiconductors, electric vehicles, or strategic manufacturing – the relevant question is not only: “Will these investments succeed?” It is also: “What opportunities are being displaced?”
Capital is finite. Talent is finite. Engineering expertise is finite. Every subsidized dollar changes incentives across the economy, leaving perfectly great projects biting the dust because they now have to compete for capital with the federal government investors.
Here’s an example. Remember the Department of Energy’s 1705 loan guarantee program? Yeah, that’s the one that extended $538 million in government guarantee to Solyndra and Abound Solar, and such companies. The debate around the program tends to focus on visible failures: the bankruptcies, the wasted taxpayer money, the embarrassing headlines.
But the larger distortion is harder to see.
Government support artificially lowers financing costs for politically preferred industries and firms. It signals to investors that some sectors enjoy implicit public backing while others do not. Capital then flows not toward the most productive uses, but toward activities most likely to attract political support. These unseen costs are real and significant.
How many entrepreneurs redirected their efforts toward subsidy-eligible technologies rather than unsubsidized alternatives? How many investors chased government-favored sectors because returns were effectively backstopped by taxpayers? How much private capital was diverted away from innovations consumers might have preferred but politicians did not?
We rarely know the answers to such questions because those investments never happen or they happen but they face higher borrowing costs ab=nd other distortions. We never really see the unseen victims of the government investor class. We don’t see the what could have been. In other words, the result of the government investor class is not merely occasional failure. It is a systematically distorted investment and economic landscape. And that’s immoral.
Oh and by the way, government “investments” don’t simply distort markets by redirecting capital toward politically favored industries. They also weaken the recipients themselves, dulling the competitive pressures that force firms to innovate, cut costs, and serve consumers better. See this older but always relevant piece by Chris Edwards.
The irony is that many former financiers now entering government once understood this reality. They recognized that prosperity comes from decentralized experimentation, not centralized direction. Yet increasingly, they seem to believe as U.S. government officials they can play markets investors. The assumption of super-intelligence underlying this desire is seductive: put successful businesspeople in charge and the government will behave more like a market. But institutions matter more than résumés. A brilliant investor inside government stops functioning as a market participant because the market’s disciplinary mechanisms disappear.
Hoenig is correct. The government’s central economic role is to protect property rights, enforce contracts, preserve the rule of law, and maintain the conditions under which decentralized market discovery can occur.


This is utterly irrelevant but I can't resist the temptation.
"higher borrowing costs ab=nd other distortions"
Someone who makes my typoes! If your econ expertise weren't enough, this seals the deal.
I’m also a great believer in the market and have seen the government bungle plenty, but with respect, I think you left out the part where the market’s wisdom led us into a situation in which we cannot make missiles, radar, airplanes or even basic ammunition without first asking China’s permission.
This rare earth problem isn’t too big for the market to solve, it’s too small for the market to solve. The gross value of rare earths we need is measured in the hundreds of millions. The cost to produce them is in the tens of billions. Chinese policies ensures there can be no margin sufficient to *ever* overcome that gap. And the cost of getting cut off is measured in the trillions. That’s an existential risk - both for American manufacturers and for America itself.
The investments have already - in a single year - broken America’s categorical dependence on rare earths from China. That vulnerability had existed for two decades.
It’s an existential problem that the market has not, cannot, and will not solve. Is correcting that vulnerability worth 0.5% of our defense budget? I’d argue so. Without that investment, we functionally don’t have a military anymore. We have the ghost of one.
The market similarly decided it was wise to put 90% of advanced semiconductors in a location our peer adversary has made clear they’re willing to take by force. The same adversary who routinely uses export controls (and non-market subsidies) for coercion and manipulation. In a war, they’ll use it for a lot more than that.
The chips (and rare earths) are an existential threat. It’s not a “nice to have”.
Moreover, the market didn’t decide what factories should produce in WWII. The precursor to the Defense Production Act did.
Back then, the market created a manufacturing powerhouse. But the market didn’t win WWII. Government policy interfering with that manufacturing sector and telling it what to make and in what quantities did.
The Japanese had better ships and the Germans better tanks. We could out produce them. Now it’s the reverse. We struggle to produce one warship a year. China can build 200. We have 103 merchant vessels (which are utterly necessary to support logistics in a major war). China has 11,000.
Should we accept this simply because our costs are 2-3x higher? Will shipbuilders pump billions into loss-making shipyards? Will banks loan for such a purpose?
That’s the market’s wisdom at work again. It’s yet another pair of existential threats.
And finally, there are some notable flaws in the claim itself. The government isn’t in fact terrible at investing. It wasn’t the market that spontaneously invented Velcro or GPS or the internet or the foundational technology for touch screens, voice recognition, or drones for that matter. Government investments through DARPA did.
The government’s “only role” isn’t to protect individual rights. It’s also to provide for the common defense - and sometimes (especially war time) that means allocating some investment dollars to things that make no short-term economic sense. Because without making and sustaining such investments, economic and personal freedom would be (and could be) right out the window.
All told, in $31 trillion economy, I’ll still sleep ok if we waste a few hundred million here and there - even billions - in trying to address some of these problems. I won’t sleep so well, however, if we don’t.