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Do Not Forget Venice: Debt, Monetary Policy and the Risks of Fiscal Dominance
Every empire learns the same painful lesson: Credibility in finance is hard won and easily lost.
Sep 15
•
Jack Salmon
Using Forecasts to Determine If Tariffs Are Boosting U.S. Manufacturing
Bringing Back Jobs or Accelerating Decline?
Sep 11
•
Jack Salmon
Rate Cuts May Be on the Way, But Should They Be?
New Policy Brief on the Interaction of Fiscal and Monetary Policies
Sep 10
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Joshua Rowley
Debt, Models and Markets
Why Washington Keeps Underestimating the Risk
Sep 9
•
Jack Salmon
Tracking Efforts to Shrink the Size of the Federal Workforce: August 2025 Update
Today’s jobs report marks the seventh Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report to capture at least some of the workforce restructuring and agency-level…
Sep 5
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Jack Salmon
The Illusion of Fed Independence
How fiscal pressures will continue to shape monetary policies even absent Donald Trump
Sep 4
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Veronique de Rugy
Inflation and Fiscal Stability: The Case of the United Kingdom
Debt, Deficits, and the Return of Market Vigilance
Sep 3
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Jack Salmon
The End of Policymaking Revisited
How Mandatory Spending Has Consumed Federal Revenues
Sep 2
•
Jack Salmon
August 2025
Criticisms of the One Big Beautiful Bill: From Reasonable to Ridiculous
Several claims are being made about the recently enacted One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA), many of which are exaggerated, misleading or outright…
Aug 29
•
Joshua Rowley
Tariffs Don’t Bring Back Factory Jobs
Michael Strain dismantles the case for protectionism
Aug 28
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Jack Salmon
Borrow, Spend, Invest? The Fantasy of a U.S. Sovereign Wealth Fund
America doesn’t need another subsidy machine—it needs fiscal discipline.
Aug 28
•
Veronique de Rugy
Inflation Risk in a World of Fiscal Dominance
The Fed should refrain from caving to political pressures
Aug 25
•
Jack Salmon
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